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Premier League predictions

Every Premier League fixture our model has priced, the table as it stands, and — above them — how often we have actually been right in this competition.

England

50.0%hit rate, last 30 days
250settled predictions
48.6%average confidence stated
1.4 ptsunder-confident

Measured, not claimed: every 1X2 prediction we publish is graded once the match is settled, and the misses are counted in the same place as the hits. The full record is in the app's Accuracy Ledger.

Upcoming fixtures

No fixtures with a published 1X2 predictions for this day yet. The board is rebuilt every morning as kick-off times are confirmed.

Table

#TeamPlayedGoalsPoints
1Manchester City513-515
2Arsenal58-412
3Brighton516-510
4Brentford510-49
5Leeds57-39
6Liverpool57-49
7Everton56-39
8Hull City56-48
9Newcastle United59-98
10Chelsea510-127
11Ipswich57-116
12Manchester United58-85
13Nottingham Forest54-55
14Sunderland56-104
15Crystal Palace56-114
16Aston Villa54-94
17Bournemouth56-83
18Coventry51-103
19Fulham55-82
20Tottenham52-82

Recent results, graded

UTCMatchCompetitionMatch resultModel
15:30Fulham v Manchester United
Miss · 1-1
Premier LeagueFulham win42%
13:00Bournemouth v Liverpool
Miss · 0-1
Premier LeagueBournemouth win42%
13:00Leeds v Crystal Palace
Miss · 0-0
Premier LeagueLeeds win42%
13:00Manchester City v Sunderland
Hit · 5-3
Premier LeagueManchester City win42%
16:30Nottingham Forest v Coventry
Miss · 0-1
Premier LeagueNottingham Forest win42%
14:00Brighton v Arsenal
Hit · 3-0
Premier LeagueBrighton win42%
14:00Newcastle United v Hull City
Hit · 2-1
Premier LeagueNewcastle United win42%
14:00Everton v Ipswich
Hit · 1-0
Premier LeagueEverton win42%
11:30Tottenham v Aston Villa
Miss · 2-3
Premier LeagueTottenham win42%
19:00Brentford v Chelsea
Hit · 3-0
Premier LeagueBrentford win42%
19:00Leeds v Newcastle United
Hit · 4-1
Premier LeagueLeeds win56%
19:00Sunderland v Arsenal
Hit · 0-2
Premier LeagueArsenal win39%
19:00Ipswich v Liverpool
Miss · 0-2
Premier LeagueIpswich win46%
19:00Aston Villa v Arsenal
Miss · 0-1
Premier LeagueAston Villa win46%
14:00Coventry v Hull City
Hit · 0-1
Premier LeagueHull City win37%
14:00Bournemouth v Everton
Miss · 1-1
Premier LeagueBournemouth win53%
11:30Liverpool v Nottingham Forest
Miss · 2-2
Premier LeagueLiverpool win42%
19:00Crystal Palace v Manchester City
Miss · 1-4
Premier LeagueCrystal Palace win46%
19:00Fulham v Chelsea
Miss · 2-3
Premier LeagueFulham win47%
15:30Newcastle United v Liverpool
Miss · 2-2
Premier LeagueLiverpool win38%
13:00Manchester City v Bournemouth
Hit · 2-1
Premier LeagueManchester City win46%
13:00Brighton v Aston Villa
Hit · 4-0
Premier LeagueBrighton win46%

Every market on every match, the edge against the market price and the AI panel live in the app - and the Accuracy Ledger is free in it.

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